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Property Research | Australia

56,638 Verified Property Bargains Across Australia

We checked 200,357 properties in every state and territory. 56,638 are genuine bargains. Average saving: $112,310. Coverage spans 5,378 suburbs from Cairns to Hobart.

Luke Metcalfe, Microburbs Research28 February 20266 min read
Luke Metcalfe
Luke Metcalfe
Founder & Chief Data Scientist
15+ years in property data analytics
200,357
Properties Checked
56,638
Genuine Bargains
$112,310
Average Saving
5,378
Suburbs Covered

How Much Could You Save?

The average saving across all 56,638 deals is $112,310. That is real money left on the table by sellers who priced below what neighbourhood data says their property is worth.

The top deal is 21 Charles St in Castlecrag, NSW. Listed at $3.5M against a verified valuation of $6.4M. That is $2.9M below value. Certainty score: 92%.

Of the 56,638 verified bargains, 46,985 have a certainty score of 80% or higher. That is 83% of all deals backed by strong neighbourhood data.

Distribution of verified discount percentages across 56,638 Australian property bargains
Distribution of verified discounts across 56,638 national bargains. Most sit between 5% and 15% below their neighbourhood valuation.
Key Finding

83% of verified bargains (46,985 of 56,638) have a certainty score above 80%. These are properties where the valuation is built on deep local sales data.

Deals by State

Queensland leads with 15,508 deals. New South Wales follows closely at 14,478. Victoria rounds out the top three with 11,328.

New South Wales has the highest average saving at $136,749 per deal. That reflects Sydney's higher property values. Queensland delivers more volume, but at a lower average of $110,303.

Smaller markets still offer value. The ACT averages $117,248 per deal across 766 bargains. Tasmania is lower at $58,900 average savings, consistent with its lower median prices.

Verified bargains by state across Australia
Verified bargains by state. Queensland and NSW account for more than half of all deals.
RankStateDealsAvg Savings
1Queensland15,508$110,303
2New South Wales14,478$136,749
3Victoria11,328$98,553
4Western Australia7,706$109,989
5South Australia5,495$97,121
6Tasmania1,182$58,900
7ACT766$117,248
8Northern Territory175$77,003

Where Are the Deals?

Regional Queensland dominates the top 10. Emerald leads all suburbs with 213 deals at an average saving of $71,300. Moranbah, Ayr, Caboolture, and Bowen all feature in the top 10.

Why regional towns? High turnover relative to population size. Mining towns like Emerald and Moranbah have volatile pricing cycles. When the market dips, sellers price well below what the data says properties are worth.

Melbourne CBD stands out for a different reason. It ranks 10th by volume (106 deals) but has the highest average saving at $307,884. High-value apartments and townhouses create large dollar gaps when priced below comparable sales.

Top 10 suburbs by verified bargain count across Australia
Top 10 suburbs by deal count. Regional Queensland and outer metro suburbs lead on volume.
RankSuburbStateDealsAvg Savings
1EmeraldQLD213$71,300
2BaldivisWA132$116,743
3DubboNSW132$73,834
4MoranbahQLD127$57,588
5Redbank PlainsQLD123$74,836
6AyrQLD120$62,858
7TarneitVIC119$59,557
8CabooltureQLD114$90,591
9BowenQLD108$88,010
10MelbourneVIC106$307,884

Three Properties Worth a Look

These three deals show the scale of savings possible. All three are high-value properties listed well below what neighbourhood sales data supports.

21 Charles St, Castlecrag NSW

$2.9M saving
Largest Saving
Listed Price
$3,500,000
Valuation
$6,400,000
Saving
$2,900,000
Certainty
92%

The largest dollar saving in the national dataset. Listed at $3.5M in Castlecrag on Sydney's Lower North Shore. Comparable sales put the value at $6.4M. Certainty sits at 92%, backed by strong sales data in the area.

134 Flinders St, Paddington NSW

$2.6M saving
97% Certainty
Listed Price
$3,400,000
Valuation
$6,000,000
Saving
$2,600,000
Certainty
97%

Listed at $3.4M in Paddington, one of Sydney's most established inner-east suburbs. Valued at $6.0M based on comparable sales. Certainty score of 97% reflects deep sales history in the area.

15 Rookwood St, Balwyn North VIC

$1.894M saving
100% Certainty
Listed Price
$2,506,000
Valuation
$4,400,000
Saving
$1,894,000
Certainty
100%

Listed at $2.506M in Balwyn North, one of Melbourne's most consistent prestige suburbs. Valued at $4.4M based on comparable sales. Perfect 100% certainty score. Balwyn North has deep and reliable sales data going back decades.

Distribution of certainty scores across 56,638 verified bargains nationally
Certainty score distribution for 56,638 verified deals. 83% score above 80%.

How We Check Each Property

We compare each listing price against valuations built from nearby sales. Then we cross-reference with census data, comparable sales density, and neighbourhood pricing patterns.

Properties only pass when the discount is backed by reliable data. If the valuation rests on thin data or volatile pricing, the property does not pass. This is why 83% of verified deals score above 80% certainty.

The system checked 200,357 properties across all 8 states and territories. 56,638 passed as genuine bargains. That is a pass rate of 28.3%.

Our Approach

Every property is scored individually against thousands of data points from government and industry sources. No gut feelings. No suburb-level averages. Each deal stands on its own data.

Technical Whitepaper
How the bargain detection algorithm works: methodology, data sources, and model validation
→

Find Bargains in Your Suburb

Our system scores every listed property against neighbourhood sales data, census records, and comparable properties. Coverage spans 5,378 suburbs across Australia.

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