Coalition loses rich, migrants. Labor gains miners. Far right gains Middle Easterners.

A Microburbs analysis: I analysed every polling booth’s vote in yesterday’s federal election to find high resolution insights on where Australian politics is heading.

Most of the commentary we see so far is on an electorate level, but there are far more polling booths than electorates, so we can much more confident about analysis at this level.

Coalition continues to trend poor

The big takeout is we’re seeing a continuation of the trend in the federal last election where the Coalition’s support base is shifting towards poorer, less skilled, the less educated people born in Australia.

Increasingly the Coalition represent the Australian-born working class, as independents deprive them of their previous base of rich, professionals. Labor is losing social conservatives seemingly to the minor right wing parties.

The top 20% of polling booths with the most international citizens, swung against the Coalition nearly 12%, while the most polling booths with a majority third generation ancestry only suffered a similar swing against them to what Labor endured nationally.

Rich, educated professionals swung 11-12% against The Coalition, while the country’s working poor swung only 3-4% against them.

So 20% of polling booths with paying the lowest rent, earning the lowest incomes and with the least skills swung 2-4% against the government, while the fifth of Australia’s polling booths where such people are rarest saw a 10-12% collapse in LNP primary vote.

Labor wins back miners

The best predictor of a swing to Labor were miners. The 665 polling booths in the country who had over 5% of the population in mining, Labor enjoyed an average swing to them of 1.5% while the rest of the country swung against them 3.5%.

Minor right wing parties grow among Middle Easterners

Perhaps due to anti-vaccination, anti-lockdown sentiments and common social conservatism, the minor right wing parties have surged amongst people of Arabic and Serbian background. Where the polling booth is in the top 5% of these demographics, such parties more than doubled their swing.

There is a matching swing against Labor in these same places.

There will be plenty more demographic analysis to come with the coming reboot of Microburbs for 2022.

COVID 19: Is Australia really different?

Sociodemographics and COVID-19 Is Australia really different from Italy and Spain? Australia has thus far managed to keep its rate of new infections related to COVID-19 low and its total number of issued tests high relative to other Western developed nations. Watching the numbers climb amidst the rest of the world, many have growing concerns, […]

Continue reading...

Coronavirus: Early signs point towards a “frozen” economy with some personal services evaporating.

The Australian economy is showing signs of being put on hold today with actually 32% fewer GST cancellations of sole traders in March 2020 vs March 2019. There were also 9% fewer company GST cancellations. This of course despite greatly reduced economic activity. Businesses involving daily customer contact look hardest hit in 2020, with two […]

Continue reading...

6 Reasons People Will Own Their Own Self-Driving Cars

Cars for kids, movie-length commutes and mega-garages. What the strange new world of self-driving cars means for you and your property. There’ll be far more cars in future, not less! There’s a lot of excitement at the moment about self driving cars and how they’ll transform cities to become far more efficient. Futurists say the […]

Continue reading...

5 Real Estate Euphemisms That Need To Die, Now.

As property investors we all tolerate and enjoy some tired euphemisms. ‘Renovator’s Dream’, ‘Cosy’ and ‘Full of character’ have become old jokes as we wised up to them. At the same time though, we can unwittingly swallow a lot of nonsense fed to us by marketers, commentators and other investors. Some of these clichés have […]

Continue reading...

Are Tired Misconceptions Blinding You from Sydney’s Next Boom Suburbs?

For most who live within 10 or 20km of the centre of Sydney, the West seems to be considered a sprawling void of fibro shacks and bogans. This ignorance might be funny to those of us enjoying the west (life is peaceful here!), but if you’re a property investor who’s written off the western suburbs without checking your […]

Continue reading...

Can’t Get A Great Halal Snack Pack? Sell Your House.

The Halal Snack Pack, for those who have somehow missed it, is a kebab store dish on the rise. From the massive online Halal Snack Pack Appreciation Society, to TV stunts between politicians, it’s not just a trending snack food but a symbol of Australian multiculturalism. It is best described as a dish containing halal-certified doner […]

Continue reading...

How Far Will You Have To Go? The Price of Proximity

Recently I had an exciting opportunity to sit down with acclaimed property investment coach Jane Slack-Smith. You may know Jane from the Your Property Success courses or her frequent media appearances. We got to talking about how Microburbs data can assist property investors, and she raised the very early step of finding areas that are in your target […]

Continue reading...

RBA Cuts to 1.5% – Big 4 Customers Won’t Benefit, But You Can.

This week has seen the Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate to a historic low of 1.5%. The announcement was not a surprise to many, with low inflation data signalling a likely cut in the lead up to the RBA board meeting. What has been a surprise is the response from the big […]

Continue reading...

8 Real Estate Investment Metrics You Need to Understand

With some analysts predicting that real estate price growth may slow down in Sydney and Melbourne, real estate investing in Australia may no longer be all hot markets and high demand. Understanding where markets are hot and cold, fast and slow, is about understanding supply and demand, yield, days on market and OSI. But what does […]

Continue reading...