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Is Lavington (NSW) Safe?

Crime and safety analysis based on 188 blocks and 13,469 residents. SEIFA score 900 (higher disadvantage)

9/10

Safety: Above Average

Total crime rate 5,371 per 100,000 residents. Violent crime: 1 in 111. Property crime: 1 in 44.

Violent Crime
1 in 111
Above avg
Property Crime
1 in 44
Below avg
Drug Offences
1 in 198
-0% (stable)
Population
13,469
188 blocks analysed

Lavington is not safe. The suburb records a crime rate of 5,371 per 100,000 residents, and crime varies by 144 times between safest and most dangerous blocks. This represents the most dramatic variation of any suburb reviewed. A buyer selecting poorly faces vastly different safety exposure compared to careful selection. This extreme variation dominates all other Lavington considerations.

Worst for theft near Oxley Way and Union Road

Geographic crime concentration is severe. Highest-crime streets include Travelstop Way, Union Road, Oxley Way, Eden Street, Dallinger Road and Dick Road. These commercial blocks average 19,035 crimes per 100,000. Property crime reaches 8,182 per 100,000. Violent crime hits 2,660 per 100,000. Drug offences are recorded at 3,063 per 100,000. Public order incidents total 2,758 per 100,000. Commercial blocks comprise only 18 of 563 total blocks but contain crime at rates 6.5 times higher than residential areas. These streets are substantially dangerous compared to residential zones.

Safest residential streets are Poplar Drive, Mutsch Street, Cheyenne Drive, Schaefer Street, Kaitlers Road and Douglas Road. These neighbourhoods experience violent crime of 499 per 100,000 and property crime at 1,118 per 100,000. Drug offences occur at 635 per 100,000. Public order incidents are 265 per 100,000. These streets feel genuinely safe by comparison to the commercial core. Residential blocks form 509 of 563 total blocks. Most Lavington residents inhabit these safer areas. The residential character provides implicit crime protection.

19,035
Commercial blocks
2,939
Residential blocks
144x
Crime range within suburb

Quieter around Poplar Drive and Mutsch Street

The 144-fold variation is extraordinary and demands attention. This is the largest crime range of any Australian suburb in this analysis. Buyers selecting poorly face 144 times more crime exposure than careful selection achieves. Two properties in Lavington could face wildly different safety environments despite being in the same suburb. This variation dwarfs the distinction between Lavington and other suburbs.

144x crime gap between streets

Demographically, Lavington shows moderate disadvantage. Population is 13,469. SEIFA ranks 900, indicating disadvantage. Median household income is $1,130 per week, which is notably low. Public housing comprises 2.6 percent. However, welfare dependency reaches 19.8 percent. Renters form 29 percent of households. The overseas-born population is 21 percent. Hip score of 59 indicates moderate amenity.

For potential buyers, Lavington requires extreme caution. The 144-fold variation is unprecedented. Residential streets away from commercial zones offer moderate safety. Commercial core streets are genuinely dangerous. This suburb demands careful block-level analysis before purchase. The extreme variation makes generic advice unhelpful. Buyers must identify and avoid the high-crime commercial blocks entirely.

Crime Rates vs NSW Average

CategoryLavingtonNSW Avg
Violent crime901800
Property crime2,2673,500
Drug offences505600
Public order212800

Rates per 100,000 residents. Source: BOCSAR, Victoria Police, QPS.

Disadvantage Indicators

MetricLavington
Public housing2.6%
Unemployment0.0%
Welfare dependent19.8%
SEIFA disadvantage900
Median household income$1,130/wk

Source: ABS Census 2021.

Crime Breakdown

Property
2,267/100k
Violent
901/100k
Other
641/100k
Drugs
505/100k
Property Damage
439/100k
Fraud
311/100k
Public Order
212/100k
Weapons
94/100k

How Does Crime Affect Property Values Here?

Low crime does not always mean high growth. Some of the safest suburbs in Australia have underperformed for a decade. The relationship is more complex than most buyers assume.

The full Lavington report includes block-level growth forecasts, AVM valuations, and the specific streets where values are moving fastest.

See the Full Lavington Report

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View Full Lavington Suburb Report