Crime and safety analysis based on 587 blocks and 67,723 residents. SEIFA score 970 (average)
Total crime rate 4,296 per 100,000 residents. Violent crime: 1 in 141. Property crime: 1 in 38.
Craigieburn is a large expanding suburb with very low overall crime but an extreme 500-fold variation between safest and most dangerous blocks. The overall crime rate of 4,296 per 100,000 is among the lowest observed. However, the 500-fold variation indicates a few severe crime hotspots within otherwise safe areas.
High-crime streets are concentrated and distinct. Nova Court, Donnybrook Road, Lawn Court, Quest Court, Export Road, and Grasslands Avenue experience the highest crime. Property offences dominate at 2,613 per 100,000 residents. These specific streets or blocks concentrate the suburb's crime entirely. Most of Craigieburn remains substantially safer.
The vast majority of Craigieburn is genuinely safe. Newbury Boulevard, Fairways Boulevard, Earl Grove, Serenity Way, Juscelina Drive, and Falkland Road experience minimal crime. Across 1,768 blocks, most streets show crime rates under 1,000 per 100,000. This represents a substantially safe suburban character for most residents.
The 500-fold crime variation is the most extreme observed across all suburbs studied. This indicates a few specific problem blocks within an otherwise safe suburb. The variation is so extreme that it warrants investigation: is a block affected by specific premises (a pub, a convenience store)? Is there a localised gang or criminal hotspot? The 500-fold range suggests targeted intervention could dramatically improve overall safety.
Craigieburn shows moderate demographic characteristics. SEIFA ranks at 970. Median household income sits at 1,800 dollars per week. Welfare dependence reaches 16.8 percent. Public housing comprises just 0.6 percent. Renters make up 22 percent. The suburb reflects working-class family orientation with moderate stability.
For buyers, Craigieburn is genuinely safe for most locations. The 500-fold variation is an anomaly affecting a tiny percentage of blocks. Choose any of the recommended safe streets and you get a secure, family-friendly suburb at reasonable cost. Avoid the specific hotspot streets and Craigieburn offers excellent value.
| Category | Craigieburn | VIC Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Violent crime | 708 | 1,200 |
| Property crime | 2,613 | 4,000 |
| Drug offences | 146 | 700 |
| Public order | 122 | 1,000 |
Rates per 100,000 residents. Source: BOCSAR, Victoria Police, QPS.
| Metric | Craigieburn |
|---|---|
| Public housing | 0.6% |
| Unemployment | 0.0% |
| Welfare dependent | 16.8% |
| SEIFA disadvantage | 970 |
| Median household income | $1,800/wk |
Source: ABS Census 2021.
Low crime does not always mean high growth. Some of the safest suburbs in Australia have underperformed for a decade. The relationship is more complex than most buyers assume.
The full Craigieburn report includes block-level growth forecasts, AVM valuations, and the specific streets where values are moving fastest.
See the Full Craigieburn Report