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Microburbs Research

The 10 year property

Most Australians sell their property within 10 years. One in three sells within five. Half sell within 8.6 years. The industry tells you to hold forever. The data says something different.

Microburbs Research. 21 May 2026 at 13:16 AEST.
9Sold within 1 year
23Sold within 3 years
34Sold within 5 years
55Sold within 10 years
66Sold within 15 years
72Sold within 20 years

Out of every 100 buyers, here is when they sell

The typical Australian property sells about 8.6 years after purchase. Real life intervenes. People get married, divorced, transferred, retrenched, retired. Investors free up equity to buy the next one. These numbers come from 30.3 million sales across 10.4 million Australian homes since 1990, investors and owner-occupiers alike, after stripping out quick renovate-and-flip resales. They line up with the usual industry figures of about 9 to 10 years, and sit a little lower because we also count the homes people are still holding, not just the ones already sold again. Most owners do not hold forever. The full method is in the whitepaper.

Counting houses and units only, half sell within 8.3 years and 35 in every 100 sell within 5 years. On the widest reasonable definition the typical hold stretches to about 9.6 years. Honest range for a typical buyer: 8.6 to 9.6 years.

How fast buyers sell has shifted twice in 30 years

Each line follows buyers from one year and shows the share who had sold again after a set number of years. The 2005 to 2007 boom pushed the 5-year resale rate to 44 in 100. Stricter bank-lending rules calmed it through the 2010s. The 2022 to 2024 jump in interest rates pushed the 1-year resale rate to its highest in three decades. The whitepaper has the year-by-year detail.

What kinds of properties hold the longest? (And the shortest?)

Microburbs records the features agents advertise on each listing: butler's pantry, period features, ocean view, double brick. Matching 1.4 million of these listings to homes with a known buy-and-sell date reveals the cleanest split in the whole dataset.

Shortest-hold features: modern, upscale, lifestyle

Homes with these features sell about 18 months sooner than a typical home. If you want the freedom to exit at the 5-year mark, this is the kind of home that turns over on that timeline.

FeatureMean holdvs 8.18y typical
Butler's pantry6.54 years−1.64 years
Media room6.56 years−1.62 years
Gated community6.64 years−1.54 years
Theatre room7.40 years−0.78 years
Golf course views7.34 years−0.84 years
LED lighting7.37 years−0.81 years
Double vanity7.38 years−0.79 years

Longest-hold features: older, character, renovation-ready

These features stay in the same hands 15 to 24 months longer than a typical home.

FeatureMean holdvs 8.18y typical
Renovation potential10.16 years+1.98 years
Gas heater9.91 years+1.73 years
Powered workshop9.84 years+1.66 years
Double brick9.47 years+1.29 years
Period features9.43 years+1.25 years
Cul-de-sac9.49 years+1.31 years
One bathroom9.47 years+1.29 years

The pattern is clean. Modern lifestyle homes with butler's pantries and theatre rooms in gated communities change hands about 18 months sooner than a plain suburban house. Older period houses, double brick, dated heating and renovation projects stay put 15 to 24 months longer. The owners of those older houses are often older themselves, frequently the original buyers, and they sell for life events, not market timing.

What this tells you. Want a home you can settle into for 10 years? Buy a period house in an established suburb. Want the freedom to sell at 5 years? A modern, move-in-ready house in a newer estate fits that timeline.

Which homes will sell next? A prediction for every house in Australia

For every home in Australia we estimate the chance it sells in the next five years, then rank all 10 million of them for 2026 to 2030. It is not a crystal ball. It is good enough to sort areas from more likely to sell to less likely, which is what you want when you weigh up competition and resale demand. The full method is in the whitepaper. Data as at May 2026.

Highest- and lowest-likelihood suburbs, 2026 to 2030

Highest % likely to sell in 5yState%LowestState%
CliftleighNSW48.2%WattleupWA15.1%
River HeadsQLD45.1%HaynesWA15.6%
Tallwoods VillageNSW44.6%Lake CoogeeWA16.5%
QueenstownTAS44.4%Sydney Olympic ParkNSW17.8%
Russell IslandQLD43.3%Taren PointNSW17.8%

Coastal NSW, regional mid-Queensland, and small Tasmanian towns top the list. Perth's new-estate suburbs and a few Sydney apartment clusters sit at the bottom. The full top-10 and bottom-10 tables and the method are in the whitepaper.

Fine print. These predictions use location and property facts only, things like the last sale price, the home's size and type, the local share of investors, and the cash rate. They cannot see any individual owner's mortgage, refinancing or life events. So read each figure as what the location and the property suggest, not a recommendation to buy or sell. The full list and testing are in the whitepaper.

What this means for you

Plan around a 5-year exit, not a 20-year one. Half of all Australian buyers sell within ten years. Most people don't know where they'll be in five. The numbers say be realistic about it.

Watch the cash rate. Cohorts that bought at historic-low rates and got caught by the hike cycle are the most likely to be selling right now. If you bought in 2020 to 2022 and your repayments hurt, you are not alone.

Property selection still matters most. Our work on family home versus investor properties shows that picking the right property matters about five times more than the new tax rules.

High past growth predicts more selling. In the suburbs with the strongest past price growth, about 4 more homes in every 100 sell within 5 years than in the weakest-growth suburbs. People sell to lock in their gains. This holds for owner-occupiers as well as investors.

Read the full analysis. The whitepaper covers the method, policy events, and the year-by-year resale grid in detail. Related research: family home vs investor, investor concentration, negative gearing, median investor performance.

Want this kind of analysis on your suburb?

Microburbs builds suburb and property reports that show price growth, hold times, how many owners are investors, who lives there, and risk, right down to the microburb. See whether a suburb suits your first investment before you commit. Get a free preview at microburbs.com.au/suburb-reports.

Get a free previewRead the full whitepaper