Real Estate Carrum Downs Vic 3201

Carrum Downs: Beaches, fishing, surfing, relaxed.

Housing Market in Carrum Downs

Key Carrum Downs Metrics & Forecast to 2028

Sources: Property Listings, VIC RENTALS and Microburbs, 2000 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Capital Growth Forecast: Houses	Premium	Premium	Premium
Capital Growth Forecast: Houses (2-Year Outlook)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Median yield for houses	Premium	Premium	Premium
Smart median rent: All houses	$633	Top 43%	204% to Apr 2026
Smart median sale price: All houses	Premium	Premium	Premium

Housing Supply in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs Real Estate Investor Report

Sample Graphic

The higher the supply score the more supply is on the market, both current and future.
Sources: ABS, GEOSPATIAL, Property Listings, PLANNING ALERTS and Microburbs, 2002 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Development applications	178	Top 15%	63% to Jun 2025
Developments	0.6	Bottom 30%	Data for Jul 2023
Housing Stock Quality Indicator	47.6	Top 15%	Data for May 2023
Total new residential buildings value (SA2)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Days on market: houses	Premium	Premium	Premium
Days on market: units	Premium	Premium	Premium
Number of Subdivisions	2 lots	Bottom 15%	Data for Aug 2023
Volume of houses sold in the last 30 days	Premium	Premium	Premium
Volume of units sold in the last 30 days	Premium	Premium	Premium
Stock on Market	47	Top 1%	840% to Apr 2026

Housing Stock Quality in Carrum Downs

The higher the score, the higher the quality of the houses and units.
Sources: ABS, GEOSPATIAL, Property Listings and Microburbs, 2006 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Houses	79.6%	Bottom 12%	5% to Jan 2021
Average bedrooms - all homes	2.5	Top 48%	3% to Jan 2021
NBN connection: fibreoptic cable to node	0.0%	Bottom 37%	Data for Jun 2023

Development Restrictions in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs Zoning Map

Sample Graphic

The higher the score, the more easily density can be increased.
Sources: GEOSPATIAL, TORREN, ABS and Microburbs, 2011 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Total area	16.0 sq km	Top 39%	Data for Jan 2021
Heritage overlay total area	0.0 sq km	Bottom 18%	Data for Jun 2023
Residential density	433 sqm per resident	Bottom 23%	Data for Jan 2021

Risk in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs Risk Report

Sample Graphic

The higher the score, the more exposed households are to financial stress.
Sources: ABS, Property Listings, TORREN and Microburbs, 2006 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
% Owner Occupied	80.8%	Bottom 18%	0% to May 2023
% Rentals	19.2%	Top 18%	0 to May 2023
Housing Affordability Index	38	Top 33%	Data for Jun 2023
Median monthly mortgage	$1,790	Bottom 41%	20% to May 2023
Rent Affordability Index (Houses)	78	Bottom 45%	Data for Jun 2023
Rent Affordability Index (Units)	69	Bottom 18%	Data for Jun 2023
Mortgage as a percent of income	24.0%	Top 40%	7% to Jan 2021
Mortgaged Dwellings	53.7%	Top 15%	12% to May 2023

Housing Demand in Carrum Downs

The higher the score, the more demand their is for housing in the area, both current and future.
Sources: ABS, TORREN, Property Listings and Microburbs, 2004 - 2030

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Net internal migration (LGA)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Net overseas migration (LGA)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Future Population (SA2)	25800	Top 7%	15% to Dec 2036
Historical Population (SA3)	143000	Top 13%	26% to Dec 2023
Historical population growth	Premium	Premium	Premium
Population (LGA)	164000	Top 10%	45% to Dec 2030
Population Projection (LGA)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Auction clearance rate	Premium	Premium	Premium
Proportion of distressed listings	Premium	Premium	Premium
Vacancy rate	Premium	Premium	Premium

Unit Market in Carrum Downs

Carrum Downs Unit Investor Report

Sample Graphic

Sources: Property Listings, VIC RENTALS and Microburbs, 2000 - 2023

Field	Value	VS Mornington Peninsula	Trend
Capital Growth Forecast: Units	Premium	Premium	Premium
Capital Growth Forecast: Units (2-Year Outlook)	Premium	Premium	Premium
Median yield for units	Premium	Premium	Premium
Smart median rent: All units	$545	Top 27%	159% to Apr 2026
Smart median sale price: All units	Premium	Premium	Premium
Unit to house ratio	83.2%	Top 23%	9% to Apr 2026

Median House Rental Prices by Street (89)

Level_0	Street	Date	Median rent (per week)
28348	Hall Rd	18 Apr 2026	$600
28342	Greenslopes Dr	18 Apr 2026	$611
28369	Herrington Ave	18 Apr 2026	$665
28367	Herbert Rd	18 Apr 2026	$649
28364	Hellenic Ct	18 Apr 2026	$678

Realtors (10)

Headline	Place	Datetime
Botany Park Real Estate Pty Ltd	117 Hall Rd
Cubby Central	11 Levida Dr
LJ Hooker Carrum Downs	Shop 2 121 Hall Rd
MBCM Chelsea	4 Silkwood Rise
Ray White Carrum Downs	Shop 49/100 Hall Rd

Accommodation Options (4)

Headline	Place	Datetime
Caravan Parks of Australia Frankston Holiday Park	1325 Frankston - Dandenong Rd
Carrum Downs Holiday Park	1165 Frankston Dandenong Rd
Sandhurst Motel	1325 Frankston - Dandenong Rd
Carrum Downs Motel	1165 Frankston Dandenong Rd

Planning Applications: Other (17)

Headline	Place	Date
To use the land for a restricted recreation facility (gym) - Frankston City Council 131/2026/P	42 Progress Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	04 Mar 2026
Proposed additions and alterations to an existing building (sick bay, rest room and storage) - Frankston City Council 96/2026/P	52 Boundary Road, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	06 Feb 2026
To use the land for a restricted recreation facility (gym) - Frankston City Council 908/2025/P	4/490 Frankston-Dandenong Road, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	28 Nov 2025
To erect and display an electronic major promotional sign - Frankston City Council 794/2025/P	12/32 Silkwood Rise, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	25 Oct 2025
To use the land for a Child Care Centre and to construct building and works within a General Residential Zone (R1Z). Variation to the car parking requirements and change of access to a Transport Zone. - Frankston City Council 620/2025/P	24C Hall Road, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	29 Aug 2025

Planning Applications: Dwellings (52)

Headline	Place	Date
To construct and display an electronic promotion panel sign - Frankston City Council 148/2026/P	6/2 Amayla Crescent, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	26 Feb 2026
To construct one (1) double storey dwelling to the rear of the existing dwelling (two (2) dwellings on a lot) in a General Residential Zone (GRZ) - Frankston City Council 324/2020/P/E	77 Lyrebird Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	12 Feb 2026
To construct building and works to an existing building (mezzanine) - Frankston City Council 929/2025/P	1/2 Concord Crescent, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	04 Feb 2026
To construct a mezzanine addition and reduction of car spaces - Frankston City Council 669/2012/P/D	49 Colemans Road, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	02 Feb 2026
To construct fifty five (55) dwellings, alter access road in a Transport Zone 2 and to remove canopy trees & native vegetation - Frankston City Council 1001/2025/P	48 Hall Road, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	23 Jan 2026

Planning Applications: Industrial (31)

Headline	Place	Date
Change of use from existing warehouse to a restricted recreational facility (gym) and display of business identification signage - Frankston City Council 916/2025/P	97 Frankston Gardens Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	05 Dec 2025
To construct buildings and works in an Industrial 1 Zone (IN1Z), to reduce the car parking requirement of Clause 52.06 and to erect and display business identification signage - Frankston City Council 436/2025/P/A	47 Titan Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	25 Nov 2025
To use the land for a place of assembly in an Industrial 1 Zone (IN1Z) - Frankston City Council 753/2025/P	1/27 Concord Crescent, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	16 Oct 2025
To construct buildings and works (mezzanine) in an Industrial 1 Zone (IN1Z) - Frankston City Council 679/2025/P	28A Brett Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	03 Oct 2025
To use the land for a place of worship in an Industrial 1 Zone (IN1Z) and to erect and display internal illuminated identification signage - Frankston City Council 664/2025/P	6/47 Frankston Gardens Drive, Carrum Downs 3201, VIC	13 Sep 2025

Businesses (100)

Name	Address
Johns Lyng Group	17 Capital Pl, Carrum Downs VIC 3201, Australia
Infinity Building Group Pty Ltd - Carrum Downs	9 Elite Way, Carrum Downs VIC 3201, Australia
Unique Building Services Pty Ltd.	23 Yazaki Way, Carrum Downs VIC 3201, Australia
Five One Group	14 Gateway Dr, Carrum Downs VIC 3201, Australia
Sands Civil Group Pty Ltd	4 Sahra Grove, Carrum Downs VIC 3201, Australia

Median Unit Sale Prices by Street (30)

Date	Median sale value	Street
18 Apr 2026	$1,028,000	Amayla Cr
18 Apr 2026	$1,395,000	Aster Ave
18 Apr 2026	$632,300	Ballarto Rd
18 Apr 2026	$530,800	Balmain Dr
18 Apr 2026	$783,900	Brett Dr

Turnover Rate by Street (100)

Turnover rate	Street	Turnover Label	Turnover Years	Year
57.1%	Raquel Cl	quite tightly held	Every 17.5 years (quite tightly held)	2026
42.9%	Falcon Ct	very tightly held	Every 23.3 years (very tightly held)	2026
87.0%	Fantail Ct	high turnover	Every 11.5 years (high turnover)	2026
83.1%	Paddington Ave	average turnover	Every 12.0 years (average turnover)	2026
109.5%	Hall Rd	very high turnover	Every 9.1 years (very high turnover)	2026

LGA Details (1)

Headline	Place	Datetime
Local government area	Frankston

Recently Sold Houses (100)

Address	Price	Bedrooms	Bathrooms	Garage spaces	Date sold	Sale Type
20 Spencer Dr	$903,000	4.0	2.0	2.0	04 Feb 2026	On Market
20 Broderick Rd	$860,000	3.0	2.0	2.0	29 Jan 2026	On Market
3 Merso Ct	$850,000	3.0	2.0	1.0	29 Jan 2026	On Market
20 Orama Ave	$781,500	3.0	1.0	1.0	28 Jan 2026	On Market
3 Alluvian Way	$907,500	4.0	2.0	2.0	24 Jan 2026	On Market

Median House Sale Prices by Street (70)

Street	Date	Median sale value
Allied Dr	18 Apr 2026	$865,800
Arcadia St	18 Apr 2026	$815,300
Athenium Ct	18 Apr 2026	$815,800
Autumn Cr	18 Apr 2026	$639,400
Ballarto Rd	18 Apr 2026	$757,000

Percent of Renters by Street (100)

Percent of Renters	Street
0.0%	Adelle Court
0.0%	Adelle Ct
30.7%	Allied Dr
30.5%	Allied Drive
0.0%	Alluvian None

Recent Rental House Listings (100)

Address	Rent (per week)	Bedrooms	Bathrooms	Garage spaces	Date
19 Parkdale Dr	$570	3	2		06 Feb 2026
161 Cadles Rd	$590	3	1	2	05 Feb 2026
7 Lyrebird Dr	$640	4	2	3	04 Feb 2026
6 Janette Ct	$650	4	2	2	03 Feb 2026
33 Ogradys Rd	$515	3	1		03 Feb 2026

Recent Rental Unit Listings (100)

Address	Rent (per week)	Bedrooms	Bathrooms	Garage spaces	Date
Unit 1, 34 Szer Way	$570	3.0	1.0	2.0	29 Jan 2026
Unit 3, 23 Grnja Way	$480	2.0	2.0	1.0	21 Jan 2026
Unit 3, 23 Grnja Way	$480	2.0	2.0	1.0	21 Jan 2026
Unit 3, 23 Grnja Way	$480	2.0	2.0	1.0	21 Jan 2026
Unit 3, 23 Grnja Way	$480	2.0	2.0	1.0	21 Jan 2026

Recently Sold Units (100)

Address	Price	Bedrooms	Bathrooms	Garage spaces	Date sold	Sale Type
10 Surfers Cr	$670,000	3.0	2.0	1.0	06 Feb 2026	On Market
10 Surfers Cr	$670,000	3.0	2.0	1.0	06 Feb 2026	On Market
51c Hillview Dr	$765,000	4.0	4.0	2.0	19 Jan 2026	On Market
51c Hillview Dr	$765,000	4.0	4.0	2.0	19 Jan 2026	On Market
51c Hillview Dr	$765,000	4.0	4.0	2.0	19 Jan 2026	On Market

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