{"id":1866,"date":"2022-05-21T22:36:36","date_gmt":"2022-05-21T22:36:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\/blog\/?p=1866"},"modified":"2023-05-30T23:14:59","modified_gmt":"2023-05-30T23:14:59","slug":"coalition-loses-rich-migrants-labor-gains-miners-far-right-gains-muslims","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\/blog\/coalition-loses-rich-migrants-labor-gains-miners-far-right-gains-muslims\/","title":{"rendered":"Coalition loses rich, migrants. Labor gains miners. Far right gains Middle Easterners."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\">Microburbs<\/a> analysis: I analysed every polling booth&#8217;s vote in yesterday&#8217;s federal election to find high resolution insights on where Australian politics is heading.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most of the commentary we see so far is on an electorate level, but there are far more polling booths than electorates, so we can much more confident about analysis at this level. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Coalition continues to trend poor <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The big takeout is we\u2019re seeing a continuation of the trend in the federal last election where the Coalition\u2019s support base is shifting towards poorer, less skilled, the less educated people born in Australia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Increasingly the Coalition represent the Australian-born working class, as independents deprive them of their previous base of rich, professionals. Labor is losing social conservatives seemingly to the minor right wing parties.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> The top 20% of polling booths with the most international citizens, swung against the Coalition nearly 12%, while the most polling booths with a majority third generation ancestry only suffered a similar swing against them to what Labor endured nationally. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/05mTB2Gv8I3DEw6AwlNVrmVYNfR1mMEvkYCqtD-bnk2y207zDmGJwmNIF1bGVPT8ApnPRKU4-3sDEcM8eXGbAY29AwIRavBP_z5eU1cWszOAU2EFZxSfGoAy2jY9gc3zXsDllyn6m5Wxnubj5A\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Rich, educated professionals swung 11-12% against The Coalition,  while the country\u2019s working poor swung only 3-4% against them. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/p5erABuaRL6y9FnGqRXkt-VxRD4hWZorx069LpascJ1R2_yqGY8FX9SDVy-KYpuodhxElE_p48GPz_6-xx9nUPxBOycgCcXcLhJwKbflFSz2ICpFa5OuLCiqTbqrhxO_n5EcPzrhelfwNNZHiQ\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/WvsyaYBly9HV9s2G9Pk61km5r1cFJNqGhVcKLUqPPIRjZWz1TpstUMqPBauN_UyApEDBOuWxEdxjJVn88LbpFXbs-O84c7Ynjg97jYIWZvDQpHHRxQFUSXUCVV6LVEQ6eN_hfl053smlaJRfBw\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So 20% of polling booths with paying the lowest rent, earning the lowest incomes and with the least skills swung 2-4% against the government, while the fifth of Australia&#8217;s polling booths where such people are rarest saw a 10-12% collapse in LNP primary vote. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Labor wins back miners<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The best predictor of a swing to Labor were miners. The 665 polling booths in the country who had over 5% of the population in mining, Labor enjoyed an average swing <em>to <\/em>them of 1.5% while the rest of the country swung against them 3.5%. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Minor right wing parties grow among Middle Easterners<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps due to anti-vaccination, anti-lockdown sentiments and common social conservatism, the minor right wing parties have surged amongst people of Arabic and Serbian background. Where the polling booth is in the top 5% of these demographics, such parties more than doubled their swing. <br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/VxK-5A18Jlvt8vEeYFeG6BPLhjE33NAOgDWSf2tZJTHgDOiLQ-PYQamLPM3imf7vmh7WJDIja6YMcc7WSc78pmXA5X7kccGTkMnMPU2wdWs-_ePO33iIci2mPlcV0Uwrs17O7EkiAveQiTgwVQ\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a matching swing against Labor in these same places.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh3.googleusercontent.com\/g_anEn3oBwloLpcgkHHUKDKmgco-n497ltBqJPwc0u7ES1_WT_OIJrAURAIF-G2h1ZPPF9VIM6FAkN6Clitgtrn-h8hRbnaHCrOal42IgUZDPftLPNlqRUe2yUgZjsgcFJ08a8Bs2YsWWVY0ng\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>There will be plenty more demographic analysis to come with the coming reboot of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\">Microburbs<\/a> for 2022. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Microburbs analysis: I analysed every polling booth&#8217;s vote in yesterday&#8217;s federal election to find high resolution insights on where Australian politics is heading. Most of the commentary we see so far is on an electorate level, but there are far more polling booths than electorates, so we can much more confident about analysis at [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.13 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Coalition loses rich, migrants. Labor gains miners. Far right gains Middle Easterners. - Microburbs Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\/blog\/coalition-loses-rich-migrants-labor-gains-miners-far-right-gains-muslims\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Coalition loses rich, migrants. Labor gains miners. Far right gains Middle Easterners. - Microburbs Blog\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"A Microburbs analysis: I analysed every polling booth&#8217;s vote in yesterday&#8217;s federal election to find high resolution insights on where Australian politics is heading. Most of the commentary we see so far is on an electorate level, but there are far more polling booths than electorates, so we can much more confident about analysis at [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/05mTB2Gv8I3DEw6AwlNVrmVYNfR1mMEvkYCqtD-bnk2y207zDmGJwmNIF1bGVPT8ApnPRKU4-3sDEcM8eXGbAY29AwIRavBP_z5eU1cWszOAU2EFZxSfGoAy2jY9gc3zXsDllyn6m5Wxnubj5A\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@orchyluke\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Luke Metcalfe\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\/blog\/coalition-loses-rich-migrants-labor-gains-miners-far-right-gains-muslims\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.microburbs.com.au\/blog\/coalition-loses-rich-migrants-labor-gains-miners-far-right-gains-muslims\/\",\"name\":\"Coalition loses rich, migrants. 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